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QUESTIONS
Use the money market with the general monetary model and foreign exchange (FX) market to answer the following questions. The questions consider the relationship between the U.K. pound (£) and the Australian dollar ($). Let the exchange rate be defined as Australian dollars per pound, E$/£. In the U.K., the real income (Y£) is 10.00 trill., the money supply (M£) is £50.00 trill., the price level (P£) is £10.00, and the nominal interest rate (i£) is 2.00% per annum. In Australia, the real income (Y$) is 1.00 trill., the money supply (M$) is AU$10.00 trill., the price level (P$) is AU$20.00, and the nominal interest rate (i$) is 2.00% per annum. These two countries have maintained these long-run levels. Note that the uncovered interest parity (UIP) holds all the time, and the purchasing power parity (PPP) holds only in the long-run. The half-life of the deviation from the PPP is 4 years, that is, the deviation from PPP shrinks by 50% in 4 years.
Now, consider time T (today) when the Australian real income falls permanently by 10% unexpectedly so that the new real income in Australia becomes Y$ = 0.90 trill. With the new real income, the interest rate in Australia falls to 1% per annum today. With these changes, the exchange rate today becomes 2.2848, (E$/£ = 2.2848). Assume that Australia and the U.K. use the floating exchange rate system.
1. Calculate the new long-run price level in Australia, P*$ (round to 4 decimal places). [1 marks]
2. Calculate the new long-run exchange rate, E*$/£ (round to 4 decimal places). [1 marks]
3. Calculate the expected exchange rate 1 year from today (T+1), Ee$/£ (round to 4 decimal places).
[2 marks]
4. Calculate the real exchange rate today (T), q$/£ (round to 4 decimal places). [2 marks]
5. Based on the half-life of the deviation from PPP, calculate the expected real exchange rate 4 years from today (T+4), qe$/£,4 (round to 4 decimal places). [2 marks]
6. Following the permanent fall of Australian income by 10%, the price level in Australia is expected to go up by 5% in 4 years (Pe$,4 = 21.00). Calculate the expected exchange rate 4 years from today (T+4), Ee$/£,4 (round to 4 decimal places). [2 marks]
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